ATP futures odds

ATP futures odds compared across the books: the best price on every player, the no-vig chance, hold per book and +EV.

How ATP futures work

ATP futures on vigged: the men’s winner of each Grand Slam: the Australian Open, Roland Garros, Wimbledon and the US Open. Each market lists the best price among your books, the no-vig chance and the hold of each book.

A Slam field is long, so the books carry far more margin on the outright than on a single match. vigged removes each book’s margin before comparing, so a price better than the no-vig chance is marked +EV, an estimate of value.

Frequently asked questions

What ATP futures can I compare?

The men’s winner of each Grand Slam: the Australian Open, Roland Garros, Wimbledon and the US Open, when the books price them.

When are ATP futures settled?

When the tournament’s final is played; a player who withdraws before the first match is usually void at the book.

Why is the vig so large on futures?

A futures market prices a whole field at once, and the book adds its margin to every team or player in it. Add up the chances a book’s prices imply and they come to well over 100%, often far more than on a single game. Most of that margin usually sits on the longshots.

How is the no-vig chance on a futures market worked out?

Each sportsbook’s field is de-vigged on its own, so its chances add up to the number of winners (one champion, four top-four places, the relegated clubs), then the books are combined. Win totals and make-the-playoffs markets are paired instead, over against under and yes against no, on the same line only. The method is the one behind every no-vig price on vigged.

How often do futures odds update?

Futures move in hours, not seconds, and each price shows when it last changed.

Are Kalshi and Polymarket futures included?

When Kalshi or Polymarket lists the same market, its price is shown beside the books after the trading fee, as on game pages. A Kalshi price is ranked with the books when enough money sits behind it.

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