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Rays vs Guardians

ALCS Game 5 · Sat Oct 17 · 8:00 PM ET · Progressive Field

Tampa Bay RaysRays98-64
8:00 PM ETOct 17, 2026
Cleveland GuardiansGuardians85-77
TVTBStruTV
Weather47°F · Clear · W wind 3 mphPast games: coldForecast

Weather at Progressive Field

Rays vs Guardians at Progressive Field, Sat Oct 17, 8:00 PM ET. The forecast for the game's hours.

First pitch · 8 PM ET
47°FWind 3 mph from the WClear · 0% chance of rain · humidity 64%
  1. 8 PM47°F3 mph0% rain
  2. 9 PM45°F2 mph0% rain
  3. 10 PM44°F2 mph0% rain
  4. 11 PM44°F2 mph0% rain
  5. 12 AM43°F3 mph0% rain

If the forecast is right: past games in these conditions

  • Cold: in open-air parks from 2014 to 2025, games under 50°F (629) averaged about half a run fewer than games at 70-79°F.

vigged's study of NOAA airport reports during past games and their final scores. Past games, not a prediction.

Forecast from the US National Weather Service, issued Fri Oct 16, 3:46 AM ET.

Rays vs Guardians prediction

as of 8:01 AM ET

Each prediction market's own price to win now, and the implied chance before fees.

ExchangeTBCLE
Kalshi$3.6k depth−12055%+12045%
  • Kalshi: Rays 55%.

Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays (98-64, 43-38 on the road) visit the Cleveland Guardians (85-77, 41-40 at home) in Game 5 of the ALCS at Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH on Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (5:00 PM PT). The Guardians won the last meeting 3-2 on Oct 15, 2026. Cleveland leads the series 2-1. Cleveland has won 3 of its last 4.

Injury report

McClanahan out · TB 1 out · CLE 1 out

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Shane McClanahan SP · forearmKEYOut

Also out: 5 on injured reserve (Jacob Melton, Gavin Lux, Edwin Uceta, Jonathan Heasley, …).

Cleveland Guardians

  • Andrew Walters RP · elbowOut

Also out: 2 on injured reserve (Colin Holderman, Rhys Hoskins).

Season so far, before the game

Batting: Games Played TB 162 · CLE 162
SeasonTBCLE
Batting: Games Played162162
Batting: Team Games Played162162
Batting: Hit By Pitch5858
Batting: Ground Balls19991726
Batting: Strikeouts11451271
Batting: Runs Batted In700650
Batting: Sacrifice Hit4528
Batting: Hits14051291
Batting: Stolen Bases164146
Batting: Walks514574
Batting: Catcher Interference32
Batting: Runs736678
Batting: Ground Into Double Play11198
Batting: Sacrifice Flies4245
Batting: At Bats54445410
Batting: Home Runs169162
Batting: Grand Slam Home Runs16
Batting: Runners Left On Base00
Batting: Triples2216
Batting: Game Winning RBIs9581
Batting: Intentional Walks2714
Batting: Doubles230249
Batting: Fly Balls23882486
Batting: Caught Stealing5431
  • Batting: Chase DeLauter (CLE), .287
  • Home Runs: Angel Martinez (CLE), 18
  • RBI: Brayan Rocchio (CLE), 73
  • Pitching: Parker Messick (CLE), 2.56
  • Wins: Gavin Williams (CLE), 14
  • Strikeouts: Gavin Williams (CLE), 248
  • Batting: Chandler Simpson (TB), .306
  • Home Runs: Junior Caminero (TB), 42
  • RBI: Junior Caminero (TB), 101
  • Pitching: Drew Rasmussen (TB), 2.67
  • Wins: Drew Rasmussen (TB), 16
  • Strikeouts: Drew Rasmussen (TB), 174

How to watch Rays vs Guardians

DateSat, Oct 17, 2026
Start8:00 PM ET · 7:00 PM CT · 6:00 PM MT · 5:00 PM PT
TVTBS · nationaltruTV · national
VenueProgressive Field, Cleveland, OH

Last and next games

Guardians

  • Last game: vs TBFri Oct 16
  • W 3-2 vs TBThu Oct 15
  • L 1-3 at TBTue Oct 13
  • W 7-3 at TBMon Oct 12

Head to head

More scores

Scores and stats: ESPN. Prediction-market prices: Kalshi and Polymarket. Betting splits: a consensus across several sportsbooks. Odds change constantly: confirm the price at the book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Game details updated Oct 16, 8:00 AM ET. How game pages are made