Weather53°F · Showers · NNW wind 16 mph · 62% rainForecast
Weather at Progressive Field
Rays vs Guardians at Progressive Field, Fri Oct 16, 8:00 PM ET. The forecast for the game's hours.
- 8 PM53°F16 mph62% rain
- 9 PM52°F17 mph68% rain
- 10 PM51°F18 mph74% rain
- 11 PM50°F17 mph80% rain
- 12 AM49°F17 mph71% rain
Forecast from the US National Weather Service, issued Fri Oct 16, 3:46 AM ET.
Rays vs Guardians prediction
as of 7:51 AM ETEach prediction market's own price to win now, and the implied chance before fees.
| Exchange | TB | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Kalshi$2.5M depth | −10250% | +10250% |
- Kalshi: Rays 50%, unchanged from a day before.
Rays vs Guardians betting splits
Consensus · as of 8:01 AM ET- 65% of the moneyline bets but 82% of the money are on the Rays.
- The markets favor the Rays (50% on Kalshi); 82% of the public's moneyline money is on the Rays.
Moneyline bets on the Rays: 54% → 63%
Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays (98-64, 43-38 on the road) visit the Cleveland Guardians (85-77, 41-40 at home) in Game 4 of the ALCS at Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH on Fri, Oct 16, 2026, 8:00 PM ET (5:00 PM PT). The Guardians won the last meeting 3-2 on Oct 15, 2026. Cleveland leads the series 2-1. Cleveland has won 3 of its last 4. Probable starters: Nick Martinez for Tampa Bay.
Injury report
McClanahan out · TB 1 out · CLE 1 out
Tampa Bay Rays
- Shane McClanahan SP · forearmKEYOut
Also out: 5 on injured reserve (Jacob Melton, Gavin Lux, Edwin Uceta, Jonathan Heasley, …).
Cleveland Guardians
- Andrew Walters RP · elbowOut
Also out: 2 on injured reserve (Colin Holderman, Rhys Hoskins).
Probable pitchers
- TB
- Nick Martinez
Season so far, before the game
Batting: Games Played TB 162 · CLE 162
| Season | TB | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Batting: Games Played | 162 | 162 |
| Batting: Team Games Played | 162 | 162 |
| Batting: Hit By Pitch | 58 | 58 |
| Batting: Ground Balls | 1999 | 1726 |
| Batting: Strikeouts | 1145 | 1271 |
| Batting: Runs Batted In | 700 | 650 |
| Batting: Sacrifice Hit | 45 | 28 |
| Batting: Hits | 1405 | 1291 |
| Batting: Stolen Bases | 164 | 146 |
| Batting: Walks | 514 | 574 |
| Batting: Catcher Interference | 3 | 2 |
| Batting: Runs | 736 | 678 |
| Batting: Ground Into Double Play | 111 | 98 |
| Batting: Sacrifice Flies | 42 | 45 |
| Batting: At Bats | 5444 | 5410 |
| Batting: Home Runs | 169 | 162 |
| Batting: Grand Slam Home Runs | 1 | 6 |
| Batting: Runners Left On Base | 0 | 0 |
| Batting: Triples | 22 | 16 |
| Batting: Game Winning RBIs | 95 | 81 |
| Batting: Intentional Walks | 27 | 14 |
| Batting: Doubles | 230 | 249 |
| Batting: Fly Balls | 2388 | 2486 |
| Batting: Caught Stealing | 54 | 31 |
- Batting: Chase DeLauter (CLE), .287
- Home Runs: Angel Martinez (CLE), 18
- RBI: Brayan Rocchio (CLE), 73
- Pitching: Parker Messick (CLE), 2.56
- Wins: Gavin Williams (CLE), 14
- Strikeouts: Gavin Williams (CLE), 248
- Batting: Chandler Simpson (TB), .306
- Home Runs: Junior Caminero (TB), 42
- RBI: Junior Caminero (TB), 101
- Pitching: Drew Rasmussen (TB), 2.67
- Wins: Drew Rasmussen (TB), 16
- Strikeouts: Drew Rasmussen (TB), 174
How to watch Rays vs Guardians
Last and next games
Rays
Guardians
- Last game: W 3-2 vs TBThu Oct 15
- Next game: vs TBSat Oct 17
- L 1-3 at TBTue Oct 13
- W 7-3 at TBMon Oct 12
- W 2-0 vs CWSSat Oct 10
Head to head
More scores
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Scores and stats: ESPN. Prediction-market prices: Kalshi and Polymarket. Betting splits: a consensus across several sportsbooks. Odds change constantly: confirm the price at the book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Game details updated Oct 16, 7:17 AM ET. How game pages are made