Closing line
US sportsbooks, consensus at puck drop- Puck line: Maple Leafs +1.5 covered.
Recap
The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Colorado Avalanche 6-3 at Ball Arena in Denver on Oct 10, 2026 to move to 3-2-1.
By the prediction markets it was an upset: Kalshi had the Maple Leafs at 32% before puck drop. 71% of the public's moneyline money was on the Avalanche.
Kalshi had the Maple Leafs at 20% in the second period. The Maple Leafs won despite being outshot 33-23. The Maple Leafs scored 2 power-play goals.
Score by period
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| COL | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
W: Bobrovsky · L: Blackwood
Market win chance
TOR on top, COL below · Kalshi price · tap or hover for any moment
During the game Kalshi had the Maple Leafs as low as 20% and as high as 96%.
Scoring plays
First Period
- TORGoal · 3:03Nick Blankenburg Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: William Nylander (4), Nick Paul (2)1-0
- COLGoal · 10:46Nathan MacKinnon Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: Brett Kulak (4), Devon Toews (3)1-1
- COLGoal · 15:14Nathan MacKinnon Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: Cale Makar (4), Martin Necas (3)1-2
Second Period
- TORGoal · 6:53William Nylander Goal (4) Snap Shot, assists: Gavin McKenna (3), Auston Matthews (5)2-2
- COLGoal · 12:25Brock Nelson Goal (2) Snap Shot, assists: none2-3
- TORGoal · 16:47William Nylander Goal (5) Wrist Shot, assists: Auston Matthews (6), Nick Paul (3)3-3
- TORGoal · 17:33Easton Cowan Goal (3) Slap Shot, assists: Morgan Rielly (4), William Nylander (5)4-3
Third Period
- TORGoal · 12:02Auston Matthews Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: William Nylander (6), Kirill Marchenko (4)5-3
- TORGoal · 19:21Auston Matthews Goal (4) Wrist Shot, assists: none6-3
Team stats
- Shots
- 23
- 33
- Power Play Goals
- 2
- 0
- Faceoff Win Percent
- 46.9
- 53.1
- Hits
- 22
- 16
- Blocked Shots
- 22
- 10
- Penalty Minutes
- 12
- 10
Top performers
Goals
Assists
Points
Player stats
Maple Leafs · Forwards
| Player | BS | HT | TK | +/- | TOI | G | A | S | SOG | FO% | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Blueger C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:59 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 20.0 | 0 |
| Easton Cowan RW | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16:07 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Brandon Duhaime RW | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:58 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 100.0 | 4 |
| Bo Groulx C | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Kirill Marchenko RW | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 16:53 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 |
| Auston Matthews C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:06 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 61.9 | 0 |
| Gavin McKenna LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| William Nylander RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:51 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 100.0 | 0 |
| Nick Paul LW | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17:15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25.0 | 0 |
| Jack Roslovic C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 15:21 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 40.0 | 2 |
| Colton Sissons C | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16:50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57.1 | 0 |
Maple Leafs · Defense
| Player | BS | HT | TK | +/- | TOI | G | A | S | SOG | FO% | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Blankenburg D | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16:11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Oliver Ekman-Larsson D | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Jake McCabe D | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:40 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Darren Raddysh D | 4 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 21:13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 |
| Morgan Rielly D | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18:48 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Troy Stecher D | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18:33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 |
| Chris Tanev D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3:29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
Maple Leafs · Goalies
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% | TOI | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky G | 3 | 33 | 30 | .909 | 59:55 | 0 |
Avalanche · Forwards
| Player | BS | HT | TK | +/- | TOI | G | A | S | SOG | FO% | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Hughes RW | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:00 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 66.7 | 0 |
| Nazem Kadri C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:50 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 42.9 | 0 |
| Parker Kelly C | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 11:35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100.0 | 0 |
| Zachary L'Heureux LW | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 7:57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 |
| Gabriel Landeskog LW | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:52 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Artturi Lehkonen LW | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Nathan MacKinnon C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:56 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 54.2 | 2 |
| Martin Necas C | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 24:07 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Brock Nelson C | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:47 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 47.1 | 0 |
| Nicolas Roy C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 8:59 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 83.3 | 0 |
| Jaden Schwartz C | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10:39 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 |
| Fedor Svechkov C | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25.0 | 2 |
Avalanche · Defense
| Player | BS | HT | TK | +/- | TOI | G | A | S | SOG | FO% | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brent Burns D | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:41 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Brett Kulak D | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 18:02 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Cale Makar D | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 21:37 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 |
| Sam Malinski D | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18:24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Josh Manson D | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Devon Toews D | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19:05 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
Avalanche · Goalies
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% | TOI | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood G | 5 | 22 | 17 | .773 | 56:56 | 0 |
Three stars
- William Nylander (TOR)
- Auston Matthews (TOR)
- Nathan MacKinnon (COL)
Betting splits at puck drop
ConsensusGame info
Last and next games
Head to head
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Scores and stats: ESPN. Closing line: TheRundown. Prediction-market prices: Kalshi and Polymarket. Betting splits: a consensus across several sportsbooks. Odds change constantly: confirm the price at the book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Game details updated Oct 10, 10:51 PM ET. How game pages are made