Closing line
US sportsbooks, consensus at puck drop- Puck line: Lightning −1.5 covered.
- Total O/U: over 5.5 (8 goals).
Recap
The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the New York Islanders 5-3 at UBS Arena in Elmont on Oct 10, 2026 to move to 4-1-0.
The Lightning have won 4 straight.
Kalshi had the Lightning at 63% and Polymarket at 63% to win before puck drop. Among the public, 83% of moneyline bets and 90% of the money were on the Lightning.
Score by period
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 |
| NYI | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
W: Vasilevskiy · L: Sorokin
Market win chance
TB on top, NYI below · Kalshi price · tap or hover for any moment
During the game Kalshi had the Lightning as low as 56% and as high as 91%.
Scoring plays
First Period
- TBGoal · 5:45Jake Guentzel Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: none1-0
- TBGoal · 15:42Brandon Hagel Goal (2) Wrist Shot, assists: Victor Hedman (1), Max Crozier (1)2-0
Second Period
- NYIGoal · 6:27Tony DeAngelo Goal (1) Wrist Shot, assists: Ondrej Palat (1)2-1
- TBGoal · 7:54Jake Guentzel Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Nikita Kucherov (6), Brandon Hagel (4)3-1
- NYIGoal · 11:41Jean-Gabriel Pageau Goal (1) Snap Shot, assists: Matthew Schaefer (4), Tony DeAngelo (1)3-2
- NYIGoal · 19:53Brayden Schenn Goal (2) Tip-In, assists: Bo Horvat (2), Matias Maccelli (3)3-3
Third Period
- TBGoal · 18:16Brandon Hagel Goal (3) Wrist Shot, assists: Max Crozier (2), Ryan McDonagh (1)4-3
- TBGoal · 18:37Brandon Hagel Goal (4) Snap Shot, assists: Anthony Cirelli (1), Nikita Kucherov (7)5-3
Team stats
- Shots
- 26
- 23
- Power Play Goals
- 1
- 1
- Faceoff Win Percent
- 49.0
- 51.0
- Hits
- 18
- 30
- Blocked Shots
- 14
- 16
- Penalty Minutes
- 9
- 13
Top performers
Goals
Assists
Points
Player stats
Lightning · Forwards
| Player | BS | HT | TK | +/- | TOI | G | A | S | SOG | FO% | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Cirelli C | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:04 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 45.5 | 0 |
| Conor Geekie C | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25.0 | 0 |
| Zemgus Girgensons C | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15:14 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 83.3 | 0 |
| Gage Goncalves C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Jake Guentzel C | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:29 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Brandon Hagel LW | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 21:32 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Pontus Holmberg RW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 |
| Nikita Kucherov RW | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17:46 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Ilya Mikheyev RW | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15:16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Brayden Point C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 18:57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 36.4 | 0 |
| Scott Sabourin RW | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9:29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 5 |
Lightning · Defense
| Player | BS | HT | TK | +/- | TOI | G | A | S | SOG | FO% | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Carlson D | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | 20:43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Erik Cernak D | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 19:01 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Maxwell Crozier D | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:30 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Charle-Edouard D'Astous D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 |
| Victor Hedman D | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:34 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Ryan McDonagh D | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:56 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| J.J. Moser D | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
Lightning · Goalies
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% | TOI | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy G | 3 | 23 | 20 | .870 | 60:00 | 0 |
Islanders · Forwards
| Player | BS | HT | TK | +/- | TOI | G | A | S | SOG | FO% | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Cizikas C | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 66.7 | 0 |
| Anthony Duclair LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 13:17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Victor Eklund LW | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 |
| Emil Heineman LW | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:41 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 |
| Simon Holmstrom RW | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 13:18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Bo Horvat C | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | 20:09 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 53.8 | 0 |
| Matias Maccelli LW | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 14:29 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 14:35 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 52.9 | 0 |
| Ondrej Palat LW | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15:23 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Kyle Palmieri C | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 15:16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Calum Ritchie C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25.0 | 0 |
| Brayden Schenn C | 2 | 4 | 0 | -1 | 17:20 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 57.1 | 0 |
Islanders · Defense
| Player | BS | HT | TK | +/- | TOI | G | A | S | SOG | FO% | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony DeAngelo D | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Scott Mayfield D | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Adam Pelech D | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 21:05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 |
| Ryan Pulock D | 3 | 1 | 0 | -1 | 19:14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2 |
| Matthew Schaefer D | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 27:07 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 |
| Logan Stanley D | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | 19:38 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 5 |
Islanders · Goalies
| Player | GA | SA | SV | SV% | TOI | PIM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin G | 4 | 25 | 21 | .840 | 59:49 | 0 |
Three stars
- Brandon Hagel (TB)
- Jake Guentzel (TB)
- Tony DeAngelo (NYI)
Betting splits at puck drop
ConsensusGame info
Last and next games
Head to head
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Scores and stats: ESPN. Closing line: TheRundown. Prediction-market prices: Kalshi and Polymarket. Betting splits: a consensus across several sportsbooks. Odds change constantly: confirm the price at the book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Game details updated Oct 10, 11:12 PM ET. How game pages are made