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Florida State vs Miami (FL)

Week 8 · unranked vs No. 3 · Sat Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET · Hard Rock Stadium

Florida State SeminolesFlorida State3-3
7:00 PM ETOct 17, 2026
Miami (FL) HurricanesMiami (FL)5-0
TVESPNStreamDisney+
Weather79°F · Cloudy · N wind 5 mph · 45% rainForecast

Weather at Hard Rock Stadium

Florida State vs Miami (FL) at Hard Rock Stadium, Sat Oct 17, 7:00 PM ET. The forecast for the game's hours.

Kickoff · 7 PM ET
79°FWind 5 mph from the NCloudy · 45% chance of rain · humidity 88%
  1. 7 PM79°F5 mph45% rain
  2. 8 PM78°F6 mph73% rain
  3. 9 PM78°F7 mph73% rain
  4. 10 PM78°F8 mph73% rain
  5. 11 PM78°F10 mph73% rain

Forecast from the US National Weather Service, issued Fri Oct 16, 3:46 AM ET.

Florida State vs Miami (FL) prediction

as of 8:02 AM ET

Each prediction market's own price to win now, and the implied chance before fees.

ExchangeFSUMIAMI
Kalshi$1.7M depth+12338%−123392%
Polymarket$135k depth+12338%−123392%
  • Kalshi: Miami (FL) 92%.
  • Polymarket: Miami (FL) 92%.

Florida State vs Miami (FL) betting splits

Consensus · as of 7:51 AM ET
MoneylineFSU · MIAMI
Bets6%94%
Money46%54%
SpreadFSU · MIAMI
Bets37%63%
Money31%69%
Total O/UOver · Under
Bets65%35%
Money76%24%
  • 94% of the moneyline bets and 54% of the money are on Miami (FL).
  • The markets favor Miami (FL) (92% on Kalshi); 54% of the public's moneyline money is on Miami (FL).

Preview

Florida State (3-3) visits No. 3 Miami (FL) (5-0) at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL on Sat, Oct 17, 2026, 7:00 PM ET (4:00 PM PT). Miami (FL) is 1st in the Atlantic Coast Conference and Florida State tied for 13th before the game. Florida State has won 2 of its last 4.

Season so far, before the game

Points Per Game FSU 31.0 · MIAMI 49.6
SeasonFSUMIAMI
Points Per Game31.049.6
Total Yards409.5554.8
Yards Passing222.3334.4
Yards Rushing187.2220.4
Points Allowed Per Game25.39.8
Yards Allowed410.2249.6
Pass Yards Allowed244.7207.0
Rush Yards Allowed165.542.6
  • Passing: Darian Mensah (MIAMI), 112/133, 1,438 YDS, 15 TD
  • Rushing: Mark Fletcher Jr. (MIAMI), 52 CAR, 307 YDS, 5 TD
  • Receiving: Malachi Toney (MIAMI), 39 REC, 604 YDS, 6 TD
  • Sacks: Marquise Lightfoot (MIAMI), 5
  • Tackles: Omar Thornton (MIAMI), 21
  • Passing: Ashton Daniels (FSU), 91/153, 1,320 YDS, 8 TD, 7 INT
  • Rushing: Ousmane Kromah (FSU), 100 CAR, 565 YDS, 5 TD
  • Receiving: Jayvan Boggs (FSU), 16 REC, 299 YDS, 1 TD
  • Sacks: Rylan Kennedy (FSU), 5
  • Tackles: CJ Richard Jr. (FSU), 38

How to watch Florida State vs Miami (FL)

DateSat, Oct 17, 2026
Start7:00 PM ET · 6:00 PM CT · 5:00 PM MT · 4:00 PM PT
TVESPN · national
StreamingDisney+ · national
VenueHard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL

Last and next games

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Scores and stats: ESPN. Prediction-market prices: Kalshi and Polymarket. Betting splits: a consensus across several sportsbooks. Odds change constantly: confirm the price at the book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Game details updated Oct 16, 7:10 AM ET. How game pages are made