College Football Scores · College Football Odds

Buffalo vs Toledo

Final · Week 7 · Sat Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET · Glass Bowl

Buffalo BullsBuffalo3-3
23
FinalOct 10, 2026
Toledo RocketsToledo4-2
8
StreamESPN+
Weather77°F · Cloudy · SSE wind 9 mphForecast

Weather at Glass Bowl

Buffalo vs Toledo at Glass Bowl, Sat Oct 10, 3:30 PM ET. The forecast for the game's hours.

Kickoff · 3 PM ET
77°FWind 9 mph from the SSECloudy · 0% chance of rain · humidity 40%
  1. 3 PM77°F9 mph0% rain
  2. 4 PM77°F8 mph1% rain
  3. 5 PM76°F7 mph1% rain
  4. 6 PM75°F7 mph1% rain
  5. 7 PM72°F6 mph1% rain

Forecast from the US National Weather Service, issued Sat Oct 10, 2:31 PM ET.

Closing line

US sportsbooks, consensus at kickoff
Moneyline
BUF+700
TOL−1200
Spread
BUF +18.5−109
TOL −18.5−111
Total O/U
Over 54.5−111
Under 54.5−109
  • Spread: Buffalo +18.5 covered.
  • Total O/U: under 54.5 (31 points).

Recap

Buffalo beat Toledo 23-8 at Glass Bowl in Toledo on Oct 10, 2026 to move to 3-3.

By the prediction markets it was an upset: Kalshi had Buffalo at 10% before kickoff. 66% of the public's moneyline money was on Toledo.

Kalshi had Buffalo at 11% in the first quarter. Buffalo won the turnover battle 3-0.

Score by quarter

Buffalo Bulls and Toledo Rockets, score by quarter
Team1234T
BUF673723
TOL00088

Market win chance

100%75%50%75%100%Q2Q3Q4BUFTOL3:33 PM ET6:52 PM ET

BUF on top, TOL below · Kalshi price · tap or hover for any moment

During the game Kalshi had Buffalo as low as 11% and as high as 93%.

Scoring plays

First Quarter

  1. BUFField Goal · 10:24Oliver Hautanen 24 Yd Field Goal3-0
  2. BUFField Goal · 3:11Oliver Hautanen 29 Yd Field Goal6-0

Second Quarter

  1. BUFTouchdown · 5:21Jason Wright 3 Yd Run (Oliver Hautanen Kick)13-0

Third Quarter

  1. BUFField Goal · 9:52Oliver Hautanen 31 Yd Field Goal16-0

Fourth Quarter

  1. TOLTouchdown · 4:45Connor Walendzak 1 Yd Run (John Alan Richter Pass to Adjatay Dabbs for Two-Point Conversion)16-8
  2. BUFTouchdown · 4:30Messiah Burch 87 Yd Run (Oliver Hautanen Kick)23-8

Team stats

BUFTOL
1st Downs
22
16
Total Yards
351
308
Passing
171
203
Rushing
180
105
3rd down efficiency
8-21
3-14
Turnovers
0
3
Possession
35:25
24:35

Top performers

Buffalo BullsToledo Rockets

Passing

Jason Wright14/31, 171 YDS
John Alan Richter22/35, 203 YDS

Rushing

Messiah Burch17 CAR, 137 YDS, 1 TD
Connor Walendzak10 CAR, 50 YDS, 1 TD

Receiving

Dwayne Early Jr.4 REC, 77 YDS
Terrell Crosby Jr.8 REC, 69 YDS

Sacks

Sedrick Vessah1
Andrew Zock1.5

Tackles

SaVeon Brown11
Armorion Smith13

Player stats

Buffalo · Passing

PlayerC/ATTYDSAVGTDINTQBR
Jason Wright14/311715.50038.5

Buffalo · Rushing

PlayerCARYDSAVGTDLONG
Messiah Burch171378.1187
Nino Hill12242.006
Jason Wright16201.3111
Team2-1-0.500

Buffalo · Receiving

PlayerRECYDSAVGTDLONG
Dwayne Early Jr.47719.3037
Jaylen Andrews22814.0017
Clint Walker22814.0017
Patrick Clacks III4215.3010
Chance Morrow2178.509

Buffalo · Defense

PlayerTOTSOLOSACKSTFLPDQB HURTD
SaVeon Brown11200000
Mikey Crawford8200100
Ronnell Davis6300.5000
Zach Bergmann6300000
Sedrick Vessah4311000
Christopher Climes4200100
Miles Greer4200.5000
Jacari Bennett3201000

Buffalo · Kicking

PlayerFGPCTLONGXPPTS
Oliver Hautanen3/475.0312/211

Toledo · Passing

PlayerC/ATTYDSAVGTDINTQBR
John Alan Richter22/352035.80012.4

Toledo · Rushing

PlayerCARYDSAVGTDLONG
Connor Walendzak10505.0114
CJ Miller9323.608
Autavius Ison3175.7011
John Alan Richter461.502

Toledo · Receiving

PlayerRECYDSAVGTDLONG
Terrell Crosby Jr.8698.6021
Sam Lee4399.8016
Adjatay Dabbs23517.5018
Daryl Barnett Jr.22814.0016
CJ Miller2199.5016
Connor Walendzak2126.007
Autavius Ison122.002
Rico Bond1-1-1.000

Toledo · Defense

PlayerTOTSOLOSACKSTFLPDQB HURTD
Armorion Smith13800.5000
Donovan Watkins9600100
Andrew Zock951.52020
Julian Fox9201100
Isaac Zay7300100
Mo Conteh7200.5000
Zach Johnson4111.5000
Nicholas Thompson4000010

Toledo · Kicking

PlayerFGPCTLONGXPPTS
Reice Griffith0/20.000/00

Betting splits at kickoff

Consensus
MoneylineBUF · TOL
Bets5%95%
Money34%66%
SpreadBUF · TOL
Bets29%71%
Money9%91%
Total O/UOver · Under
Bets59%41%
Money60%40%

Scores and stats: ESPN. Closing line: TheRundown. Prediction-market prices: Kalshi and Polymarket. Betting splits: a consensus across several sportsbooks. Odds change constantly: confirm the price at the book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Game details updated Oct 10, 6:52 PM ET. How game pages are made